Loss of connectivity among island-dwelling Peary caribou following sea ice decline

Authors: Jenkins, Deborah A; Lecomte, Nicolas; Schaefer, James A.; Swingedouw, Didier; Côté, Steeve D.; Pellissier, Loïc; Yannic, Glenn
Abstract: Global warming threatens to reduce population connectivity for terrestrial wildlife through significant and rapid changes to sea ice. Using genetic fingerprinting, we contrasted extant connectivity in island-dwelling Peary caribou in northern Canada with continental-migratory caribou. We next examined if sea-ice contractions in the last decades modulated population connectivity and explored the possible impact of future climate change on long-term connectivity among island caribou. We found a strong correlation between genetic and geodesic distances for both continental and Peary caribou, even after accounting for the possible effect of sea surface. Sea ice has thus been an effective corridor for Peary caribou, promoting inter-island connectivity and population mixing. Using a time series of remote sensing sea-ice data, we show that landscape resistance in the Canadian Arctic Archipelago has increased by approximately 15% since 1979 and may further increase by 20-77% by 2086 under a high-emission scenario (RCP8.5). Under the persistent increase in greenhouse gas concentrations, reduced connectivity may isolate island-dwelling caribou with potentially significant consequences for population viability.
Document Type: Article de recherche
Issue Date: 1 September 2016
Open Access Date: Restricted access
Document version: VoR
Permalink: http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11794/13707
This document was published in: Biology letters, Vol. 12 (9) (2016)
Royal Society
Alternative version: 10.1098/rsbl.2016.0235
Collection:Articles publiés dans des revues avec comité de lecture

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